Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.002347 0.002487 0.002636 0.002807 0.003000 0.003212 0.003464
2025-02-09 0.002182 0.002383 0.002609 0.002887 0.003224 0.003626 0.004156
2025-02-16 0.002038 0.002271 0.002546 0.002898 0.003352 0.003933 0.004771
2025-02-23 0.001967 0.002232 0.002554 0.002987 0.003575 0.004386 0.005677
2025-03-02 0.001858 0.002133 0.002475 0.002949 0.003618 0.004591 0.006270
2025-03-09 0.001755 0.002032 0.002382 0.002878 0.003601 0.004698 0.006725
2025-03-16 0.001715 0.002007 0.002384 0.002935 0.003771 0.005120 0.007881
2025-03-23 0.001675 0.001979 0.002379 0.002978 0.003924 0.005542 0.009237
2025-03-30 0.001615 0.001920 0.002326 0.002946 0.003949 0.005742 0.010197
2025-04-06 0.001545 0.001843 0.002244 0.002862 0.003879 0.005747 0.010668
2025-04-13 0.001495 0.001791 0.002194 0.002822 0.003880 0.005891 0.011622
2025-04-20 0.001412 0.001692 0.002072 0.002665 0.003663 0.005557 0.010942
2025-04-27 0.001384 0.001669 0.002061 0.002685 0.003768 0.005937 0.012961
2025-05-04 0.001371 0.001667 0.002081 0.002756 0.003974 0.006604 0.017054
2025-05-11 0.001343 0.001641 0.002064 0.002765 0.004068 0.007043 0.021210
2025-05-18 0.001334 0.001643 0.002088 0.002846 0.004314 0.007974 0.032743
2025-05-25 0.001298 0.001604 0.002048 0.002810 0.004318 0.008230 0.040721
2025-06-01 0.001258 0.001557 0.001992 0.002746 0.004251 0.008254 0.046497
2025-06-08 0.001247 0.001552 0.002003 0.002798 0.004445 0.009203 0.097927
2025-06-15 0.001233 0.001543 0.002006 0.002838 0.004619 0.010206 0.545555
2025-06-22 0.001206 0.001513 0.001973 0.002808 0.004625 0.010571 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001170 0.001469 0.001917 0.002731 0.004509 0.010376 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001145 0.001439 0.001883 0.002695 0.004490 0.010614 NaN